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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

1.0% (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 60%-1.0%
In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

4,9 €

Liquidità

366,6 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

57.0% / 62.0%

Spread

8.8%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

17 mar 26, 14:001 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%

Esito scelto

Before Jan 1, 202760%

Regole

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

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Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

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Before 2027: 11%KalshiKALSHI
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$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

0,4 €
Sì: 20%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,646.85+2.32%EthereumETH$1,650.02+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.70%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.85%XRPXRP$1.12+0.41%BNBBNB$595.02+1.72%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.