Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
1.0 pt (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 10%-1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
7,1 €
Liquidità
41,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
10.0% / 13.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
17 mar 26, 14:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
- A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
- If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 10% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba??
- Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.