KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 95%
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,2K €
Liquidità
3,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
5.2% / 6.7%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
10 set 26, 03:30 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day?
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PredictItWill Trump issue a veto in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
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KalshiWill Donald Trump issue an executive order from the federal government at any point past February 1 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- Qualifying payments require: At least $100 issued to each of at least 1,000,000 actual recipients under the same program.
- Payments to the same person may be combined.
Mercati aperti
Trade PolicyKALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027-0.7pt5%
- Before August0%
- Volume totale
- 2,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,1K €
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3157.5%
- October 31-5.0pt29.2%
- September 3013.3%
+1 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
- Before Dec 1, 202657%
- Before Jan 1, 202755%
- Before Nov 1, 202652%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7K €
KALSHIWhen will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
- Before Jan 1, 202762%
- Before Nov 1, 202658%
- Before Dec 1, 202658%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt27%
- October 31-1.0pt12%
- September 306%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?
- No85%
- Yes15%
- Volume totale
- 2,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9K €
- Will Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
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- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 95% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026??
- Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.