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Dati al 1 set 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 86%+1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
275,6 €
Liquidità
20,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
5
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto26 feb 26, 0:341 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
Mercati aperti
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- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 601,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 743,1K €
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- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
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+48 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US x Cuba military clash in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 86% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US x Cuba military clash in 2026??
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato US x Cuba military clash in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.