KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeFed maintains rate 77.2%+17.0ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
192 €
Liquidità
5,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
2.0% / 14.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
6 ott 25, 14:0028 lug 27, 17:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Hike 25bps15%
Trend del volume
$2182 lug22g di dati28 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
4,1 Mln €Fed maintains rate: 72%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
16,3K €Hike 25bps: 50%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
2K €Cut 25bps: 6%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
911,4 €Fed maintains rate: 58%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
17,6 €Hike >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
1,7 €Hike 25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto News
Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.