KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeCut >25bps 11%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
66.7%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 minuti fa
6 ott 25, 14:008 dic 27, 18:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Cut >25bps11%
Grandi operazioni
$24.4k72.0%KALSHIHike >25bps — Yes20 gg fa
KALSHIHike >25bps — Yes20 gg faTrend del volume
$1352 lug16g di dati22 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
371,6K €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
1,5K €Hike >25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
6,4 €Fed maintains rate: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Jan 2028?
0 €Cut >25bps: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 08, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on December 08, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.