Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24h)FedOne-Off5m

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 6%-6.3%

Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità

Volume 24h

10,6K €

Liquidità

177K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 15 minuti fa

6 gen 26, 15:001 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes6%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Trend del volume

$12.1k

2 lug7g di dati8 lug

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Mercati Correlati

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

1,8 Mln €

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

85,8K €

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

83,9K €

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

18,3K €

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Regole

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24h)FedOne-Off5m

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 6%-6.3%

Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità

Volume 24h

10,6K €

Liquidità

177K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 15 minuti fa

6 gen 26, 15:001 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes6%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Trend del volume

$12.1k

2 lug7g di dati8 lug

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Mercati Correlati

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

1,8 Mln €

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

85,8K €

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

83,9K €

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

18,3K €

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Regole

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.