KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 95%
Qualità del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1,6K €
Liquidità
180,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
3.3% / 4.9%
Spread
1.6 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
6 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Fed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiFed rate cut by which date?
PolymarketFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
PolymarketECB rate cut in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExFed rate cut by which date?
LimitlessRegole
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve
- For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
- The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 543,5K €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year??
- Kalshi quota No al 95% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year??
- Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.