Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 set 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
4.0–5.0% 89%+0.5ptIn testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
39,8 €
Liquidità
76,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
17
Variazione 7g
+0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto21 gen 26, 23:2331 gen 27, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”.
- The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
- If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026.
Mercati aperti
Economy
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 381,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 54,3K €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.8%99%
- Above 3.7%98%
- Above 3.9%-3.0pt92%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 360,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 49,3K €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,00096%
- Above -75,000+2.0pt95%
- Above -50,000+1.0pt90%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 109,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 309,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 15,5K €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No68%
- Yes+2.0pt32%
- Volume totale
- 235,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,2K €
POLYMARKETAugust Unemployment Rate
- 4.1%-0.5pt32.1%
- 4.2%+0.5pt32.1%
- 4.0%+3.5pt16%
+6 altri esiti
- How many jobs added in August?
- Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Recession this year?
- Recession this year?
- CPI in August
- Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
- GDP growth in 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per China Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- Polymarket quota 4.0–5.0% al 89% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve China Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato China Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.