Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83.7%
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18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
9 nov 23, 00:21 UTC2 gen 30, 00:00 UTC
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Asset Sensibili al Macro
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will U.S. annual GDP growth exceed 10% (year on year basis) for any year before 2030?
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Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/2621/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- Real GDP Annual Growth Rate in the United States averaged 3.3% from 1930 until 2017, reaching an all time high of 8.7% in 1950 and a record low of -3.90% in the second quarter of 2009.
- This question asks: *In any year before Q1 2030, will the US record real GDP annual growth rate of greater than 8.7%, beating the record set in 1950?*
- For the purpose of this question, we shall refer to Real GDP in terms of percent change from preceding year, as provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, or other reputable sources of economic data.
