PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale0-1% 56%-4.0%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,9K €
Liquidità
19,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
38.5% / 40.0%
Spread
3.9%
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
+14.5%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
22 gen 26, 15:2812 feb 27, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
0-1%56%
Trend del volume
$4.4k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
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Regole
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
- The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
- If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year.