![Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fzzq%2Fajwghjn2s9.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Previsione della comunità attuale
Republican president, >= 2%, <3% 48.4%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto9 lug 24, 16:05 UTC1 gen 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Republicans vs Democrats - 2028 Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketUK Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
Polymarket[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to the answer with the combination of the party of the president elected in the 2024 presidential elections and the average real GDP growth rate for the years 2025, 2026, 2027, and 2028.
- If a third-party candidate wins the 2024 presidential election, this market will be canceled.
- Average GDP growth will be calculated as the geometric mean of annual inflation-adjusted GDP growth for each of the four years, as reported by Our World in Data, or another broadly reliable source if the data cannot be obtained via Our World in Data.
- I expect the data to be available at https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/real-gdp-growth?tab=chart&time=2025..2028&country=~USA, but if Our World in Data changes the format of their URLs the data may be found at a different URL.
- My original intent was to resolve the answers of the losing party to NO after the election; but I have been informed that it is not possible in a dependent multiple choice market like this one to resolve only some of the answers.
- Know that the Democrat president answers will be NO when this market resolves.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 554,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,8K €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6K €
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]?
- Manifold Markets quota Republican president, >= 2%, <3% al 48% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]?
- Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party] dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to the answer with the combination of the party of the president elected in the 2024 presidential elections and the average real GDP growth rate for the years 2025, 2026, 2027, and 2028.