PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attuale5.0% 17%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
353,5 €
Liquidità
9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
4.2% / 9.9%
Spread
135.7%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-8.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
2 gen 26, 18:5631 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Esito scelto
5.0%17%
Mercati Correlati
US recession by end of 2026?
1,6K €Sì: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
847,3 €Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 86.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)
364,7 €Above 4.1%: 20%
KALSHI
KALSHIWill Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,3 €Sì: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Recession this year?
248,4 €Sì: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Jobs numbers in June 2026?
210,4 €Above 125,000: 44%KALSHI
KALSHI
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026.
- This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released.
- If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve at that time.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.