PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
0.2–0.3% 23.6%-6.0ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
523,4 €
Liquidità
2,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
13 ago 26, 17:4312 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).
Mercati aperti
Economy
KALSHIPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
- Above 545,000 jobs97%
- Above 550,000 jobs93%
- Above 555,000 jobs57%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 14,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 114,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,2K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 120,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8K €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%+4.5pt51%
- 0.4-0.7%-12.0pt33.7%
- 1.2-1.5%+1.9pt7.1%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No91%
- Yes-1.0pt9%
- Volume totale
- 214,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,5K €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000+1.0pt85%
- Above 0+1.0pt74%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in August
- How many jobs added in August?
- South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Recession this year?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in August
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- Polymarket quota 0.2–0.3% al 24% al 25 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? dovrebbe risolversi il 12 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.