KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 2.1% 94%In testa tra 15 esiti
Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
40.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
10 giu 26, 18:00 UTC14 ott 26, 12:25 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCore CPI YoY - August 2026
PolymarketWill September 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsPoland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase52.9%
- No change+2.0pt46.1%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 92,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 3 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 610,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 69,9K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt55%
- September Meeting45%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 365,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 31K €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt88%
- Above 0.2%-2.0pt34%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+4.0pt74.3%
- No-4.0pt25.7%
- Volume totale
- 7,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4K €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)?
- Kalshi quota Above 2.1% al 94% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY) dovrebbe risolversi il 14 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.