Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
EconomiaOne-OffMacro & Economy3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 93%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto29 apr 25, 07:25 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceed -1.6% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceed -1.2% in Q4 2026?
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ForecastExUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiRegole
Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0
- Includes Q4 2026, so may need to resolve a bit later if the data isn't out yet.
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 611,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,5K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??
- Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0