KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeQ4 2024 1%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
157,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
0.3% / 51.0%
Spread
16900.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 minuti fa
19 mar 25, 14:0031 dic 26, 15:00
Trend
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Q4 20241%
Trend del volume
$2222 lug19g di dati23 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
8,9K €Above 3.4%: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9K €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Recession this year?
3,1K €Sì: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8K €Sì: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,5K €Soft Landing: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,5 €Sì: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q4 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification 4/15/25 3:00 AM ET: The determination for this market will be based on which quarter NBER highlights (independent of the month they highlight).
- For example, the most recent recession written as "February 2020 (2019Q4)" would resolve YES for the market called "Q4 2019" (if this was listed).
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q1 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q2 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q3 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.