Probabilità implicita attuale
Above 3.4% 29%+2.0%In testa tra 21 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
9,3K €
Liquidità
348K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
29.0% / 32.0%
Spread
10.3%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
12 mag 26, 16:0012 ago 26, 12:29
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Above 3.4%29%
Grandi operazioni
$2.0k98.0%
KALSHIAbove 3.6% — Nol’altro ieri
KALSHIAbove 3.6% — Nol’altro ieri$1.5k73.0%KALSHIAbove 3.4% — Nol’altro ieri
KALSHIAbove 3.4% — Nol’altro ieri$1.2k98.0%KALSHIAbove 3.7% — No5 gg fa
KALSHIAbove 3.7% — No5 gg fa$1.4k68.0%KALSHIAbove 3.4% — No5 gg fa
KALSHIAbove 3.4% — No5 gg fa$1.9k96.0%KALSHIAbove 3.7% — No8 gg fa
KALSHIAbove 3.7% — No8 gg fa$2.0k98.0%KALSHIAbove 3.8% — No8 gg fa
KALSHIAbove 3.8% — No8 gg fa$1.8k89.0%KALSHIAbove 3.6% — No9 gg fa
KALSHIAbove 3.6% — No9 gg fa$1.8k90.0%KALSHIAbove 3.2% — Yes10 gg fa
KALSHIAbove 3.2% — Yes10 gg faTrend del volume
$10.6k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
72,1 €Above 3.3%: 87%KALSHI
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
0 €Above 3.0%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIInflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
0 €Above 3.0%: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,5K €Soft Landing: 62%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
19,3 €Sì: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,8K €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.2% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.