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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Economia
  3. Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

EconomiaOne-Off1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
United Kingdom
United Kingdom 37%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

301,1 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

31.0% / 36.9%

Spread

19.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

23 apr 24, 12:0031 dic 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

United Kingdom37%

Regole

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,604.58+2.36%EthereumETH$1,650.76+1.70%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%

Mercati Correlati

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3,2K €
Sì: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Sì: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.3%: 30%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,1 €
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €
Sì: 47.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.77%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%BNBBNB$594.25+1.58%CardanoADA$0.1665+3.28%HyperliquidHYPE$54.70-1.20%LitecoinLTC$42.71+0.83%

Regole

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.