KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 87%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
11,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
11.0% / 13.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
19 dic 24, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will WHO declare a global health emergency not directly based on epidemic concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRecession this year?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next US recession start?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2026?
LimitlessRegole
If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:International Monetary Fund
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,8K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 548,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 29,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,7K €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume totale
- 310,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027??
- Kalshi quota No al 87% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027??
- Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.