KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above -25,000 87%In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualità del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
12 €
Liquidità
1,2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
10.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
13 ott 25, 14:00 UTC4 dic 26, 13:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiJobs numbers in October 2026?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExHow many jobs added in September?
PolymarketWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRegole
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:BLS
- The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is the named outcome as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 97,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,8 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 702,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 91K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 400K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,5K €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,3K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9K €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Jobs numbers in Nov 2026??
- Kalshi quota Above -25,000 al 87% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Jobs numbers in Nov 2026??
- Jobs numbers in Nov 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Jobs numbers in Nov 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.