Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
FedOne-OffInflazioneSalute e medicinaEconomiaMacro ed economia3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90.6%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto27 dic 23, 19:38 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2029
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRegole
"unemployment" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- The highest ever recorded monthly US unemployment rate was in April 2020, at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, at 14.7%.
- During the Great Depression, the annual US unemployment rate (monthly was is not available) got as high as 24.9% in 1933 (BLS).
- See data from BLS or St Louis Fed below:
- (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1cpNO&width=670&height=475)Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 25% or more in any month before the end of this decade?
- @/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-10-or-more
