Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 70% al 29 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030??

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.

Come viene liquidato Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE to be used as a resolution source.

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes+1.0pt2.5%

Volume totale

3,4 Mln €

Volume 24h

33,6K €

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No-0.5pt93%
• Yes+0.5pt7%

Volume totale

2,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

20,7K €

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

KALSHI

Australia Nominal GDP in 2026

• Above $1.7 trillion94.5%
• Above $1.8 trillion92.5%
• Above $1.6 trillion98%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in 2026?

• 2.1% to 2.5%+0.7pt69.2%
• 1.6% to 2.0%-5.9pt13.5%
• 3.1% to 3.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%94.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

• Recession in 2027?
• CPI in October
• CPI in December
• Core CPI in October
• 2026: Trump's bad year?
• US recession by end of 2027?
• Unemployment in October
• 2026: Trump's dream year?
• China unemployment rate in October
• CPI in November
• Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Core CPI in November