Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
InflationOne-OffMacro & EconomyEconomia3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98.5%
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Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ago 23, 19:13 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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ForecastExRegole
Economic growth is measured by the increase in a country's production of goods and services over a period.
- When taken at a global scale, this is known as the Gross World Product (GWP).
- Historically, GWP growth has been relatively steady, with notable fluctuations due to global events.
- The question posed is whether there will be a substantial, unprecedented growth in GWP – specifically, if GWP during any prior to 2027 will exceed 130% of the highest GWP recorded in any previous year.
- Before 2027, will the Gross World Product (GWP) for any single year exceed 130% of the maximum GWP recorded for any year prior to that?
- Resolution Criteria:
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 91 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 569,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 359,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
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KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
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- Volume totale
- 79,7K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 18,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027??
- Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Economic growth is measured by the increase in a country's production of goods and services over a period.