KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 82%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
36,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
15.0% / 18.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
30 apr 24, 12:00 UTC1 gen 30, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP?
Manifold MarketsWill China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsSOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
Manifold MarketsState of the economy at the end of 2026
KalshiWill the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill Canada's economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?
ForecastExRegole
If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 554,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,8K €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volume totale
- 314,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 11K €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,7K €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 76K €
- Volume 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030??
- Kalshi quota No al 82% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030??
- China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.