Previsione della comunità attuale
No 93.2%
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto29 apr 26, 22:33 UTC31 dic 50, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
KalshiSOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
Manifold MarketsWhich party's candidate will become US President after the election in 2028?
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Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRegole
Potential Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)
- I suppose they don't have to be strictly a "former" pornstar.
- They could still be active, but they had to have also done the work prior to becoming President.
- Though I admit that'd be quite odd and much less expected than someone who had retired from that work.
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 611,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,5K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP??
- Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Potential Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)