Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Democratic Party 60.2%In testa tra 3 esiti
Democratic Party 60.2%Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto29 dic 23, 19:18 UTC29 ott 28, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 become president by the end of 2028?
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ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRegole
Which party's candidate will become US President in 2028?
- "the named outcome" includes a third-party candidate, no candidate being elected, etc. Resolves to the party whose candidate is sworn in in January 2029.
- The question's closing date will not change, and is set to about 10 days before the 2028 election, which is the time when early voting begins in many states.
- Resolution date may not be until the candidate is sworn in.
