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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Economia
  3. Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

EconomiaOne-Off4m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Shutdown & Democratic
Shutdown & Democratic 81%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

83 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

4,5 €

Liquidità

36,2K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

80.9% / 81.7%

Spread

1.0%

Spread stretto
Variazione 7g

-0.1%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

9 dic 25, 18:553 nov 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
No Shutdown & Democratic
No Shutdown & Democratic
0%
Other
Other
0%
No Shutdown & Republican
No Shutdown & Republican
0%

Esito scelto

Shutdown & Democratic81%

Regole

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).

Polymarket
  • The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
  • Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S.
  • Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
  • The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Mercati Correlati

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3,2K €
Sì: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Sì: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.3%: 30%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,1 €
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €
Sì: 47.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,652.06+2.46%EthereumETH$1,650.89+1.90%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.75%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.87%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$595.25+1.81%

Regole

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).

Polymarket
  • The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
  • Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S.
  • Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
  • The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).