Conditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"
EconomiaOne-OffPoliticaPolitica USA3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto9 gen 23, 04:33 UTC1 feb 27, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
See related market for context: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-president-biden-mint-the-coin
- This market resolves N/A if there is never an actual credible threat of a government shutdown during the Biden administration.
- If there is, and president Biden orders the mint to strike one or more platinum coins of collective denominations high enough to evade the budgetary issues, this market immediately resolves YES as soon as the coin(s) exist(s).
- Should the threat arise and should Biden "mint the coin," this market resolves YES regardless of whether he does so in time to actually avert a government shutdown or not.
- Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", this market resolves NO if the government shuts down for any amount of time.
- Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", and a government shutdown is averted through any other means, this market resolves N/A.
