If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
EconomiaOne-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2-3% 35.5%In testa tra 9 esiti
2-3% 35.5%Previsori
14
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto1 set 24, 21:43 UTC1 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Richard Hanania has wrote a blog post claiming that he hates modern conservativism but wants Trump to win on the grounds of economic growth.
- Jeremiah Johnson is skeptical:
- This sounds like uncertainty over a future observable!
- If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, this will resolve by the annualised real GDP growth rate for the United States in the years 2025-2028, as given by the World Bank.
- Otherwise, this will resolve N/A. Corresponding question for Harris: