KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
2.1% to 2.5% 15%In testa tra 14 esiti
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
14,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
8 giu 26, 20:00 UTC28 feb 28, 13:29 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2036?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q4 2027?
ForecastExWhat will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2029?
KalshiRegole
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “the named outcome” includes 6.1%, and “the named outcome” includes 0.0%.
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 91 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 569,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 359,2K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 16,4K €
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume totale
- 314,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US real GDP growth in 2027??
- Kalshi quota 2.1% to 2.5% al 15% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US real GDP growth in 2027??
- US real GDP growth in 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 febbraio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato US real GDP growth in 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.