KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale1.6% to 2.0% 11%In testa tra 14 esiti
Qualita del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,4K €
Liquidità
2K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
27 lug 26, 23:0029 feb 32, 13:29
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
4.6% to 5.0%8%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
US real GDP growth in 2026?
12,2K €4.1% to 4.5%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2032?
1,7K €6.1% or Above: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2027?
1,1K €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2036?
1K €3.1% to 3.5%: 6%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2034?
273 €1.6% to 2.0%: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2033?
206 €6.1% or Above: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
If the United States real GDP growth in 2031 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2031.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2031 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2031 GDP in early 2032.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.