KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
2.1% to 2.5% 10%-10.0ptIn testa tra 14 esiti
Qualità del mercato
50 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
5,7 €
Liquidità
6,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
28 lug 26, 00:00 UTC28 feb 33, 13:29 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2033?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiWho will win the presidency in 2028 and will average annual Real GDP growth be MORE or LESS than 2.8% during their term?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiRegole
If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2032.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2032 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2032 GDP in early 2033.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 266,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 76,4K €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+1.0pt92%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 93,1K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 157,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,3K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes-1.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 3,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 12,3K €
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt90.1%
- Yes-2.0pt9.9%
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 12,1K €
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%+1.0pt98%
- Above 2.3%+5.0pt86%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- CPI core in September
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US real GDP growth in 2032??
- Kalshi quota 2.1% to 2.5% al 10% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US real GDP growth in 2032??
- US real GDP growth in 2032? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 febbraio 2033.
- Come viene liquidato US real GDP growth in 2032??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.