KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale1.6% to 2.0% 14%+5.0%In testa tra 14 esiti
Qualita del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
3,5 €
Liquidità
6,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
10.0% / 15.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
8 giu 26, 21:0028 feb 30, 13:29
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
1.6% to 2.0%14%
Trend del volume
$423 lug4g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
US real GDP growth in 2027?
1,8 €1.1% to 1.5%: 12%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2026?
0,6 €2.1% to 2.5%: 24%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2028?
0 €0.0% or Below: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9K €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,7K €Soft Landing: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Sì: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
If the United States real GDP growth in 2029 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2029.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2029 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2029 GDP in early 2030.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.