KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 25.1% 98%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
8,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
27 lug 26, 14:00 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030?
Manifold MarketsUSD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCPI in September
KalshiRegole
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:World Bank
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
- The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
- “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
- Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 247,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 79,4K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Volume totale
- 3,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,6K €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 131,3K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 13,1K €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,1K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Volume totale
- 379,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,3K €
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US share of global GDP in 2026?
- Kalshi quota Above 25.1% al 98% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US share of global GDP in 2026?
- US share of global GDP in 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 luglio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato US share of global GDP in 2026?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.