KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeAbove 25.2% 93%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualita del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
25,4K €
Liquidità
21,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
27 lug 26, 14:001 lug 27, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Above 25.1%92%
Trend del volume
$28.9k27 lug2g di dati28 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
16,5K €Above 3.4%: 28%KALSHI
KALSHI
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?
13,3K €Above 30,000: 82%KALSHI
KALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2026?
12,2K €4.1% to 4.5%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,9K €Soft Landing: 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
496,1 €1-2%: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
475,5 €Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 95.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
- The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
- “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
- Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.