[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?

PoliticsOne-OffMusic Business & Corporate Entertainment US Politics Election Russia / Ukraine Europe Space Tech Sports AI Esports

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

I successfully get my shit together regarding my "when will I get my shit together?" markets 55%

Leader of 13 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+5.0 pts

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Stale

Aug 29, 24, 1:03 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

I shuffle a deck of cards and it ends up in exact ascending order 🃏

0.3%

Rules

I will not bet in this market to avoid incentives for dishonest resolution (with the exception of buying and immediately selling shares in options others add so they get the trader bonus).

I will attempt to give updates in the comments on life developments that significantly affect the odds for any option, within the limits of not doxxing myself or others
Relevant context and clarifications for each outcome:
I am a mid-twenties male living in the UK
I have no known terminal illnesses
I am not significantly overweight, and eat a balanced mostly vegan diet

Report a data issue with this market

[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?

PoliticsOne-OffMusic Business & Corporate Entertainment US Politics Election Russia / Ukraine Europe Space Tech Sports AI Esports

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

I successfully get my shit together regarding my "when will I get my shit together?" markets 55%

Leader of 13 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+5.0 pts

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Stale

Aug 29, 24, 1:03 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

I shuffle a deck of cards and it ends up in exact ascending order 🃏

0.3%

Rules

I will not bet in this market to avoid incentives for dishonest resolution (with the exception of buying and immediately selling shares in options others add so they get the trader bonus).

I will attempt to give updates in the comments on life developments that significantly affect the odds for any option, within the limits of not doxxing myself or others
Relevant context and clarifications for each outcome:
I am a mid-twenties male living in the UK
I have no known terminal illnesses
I am not significantly overweight, and eat a balanced mostly vegan diet

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for [Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century??: Manifold Markets prices I successfully get my shit together regarding my "when will I get my shit together?" markets at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
When does [Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century? resolve?: [Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.
How is [Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I will not bet in this market to avoid incentives for dishonest resolution (with the exception of buying and immediately selling shares in options others add so they get the trader bonus).

[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?

[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?

Frequently asked questions

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