[Mega-market - add options] Who will directly and intentionally kill someone in their lifetime?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for [Mega-market - add options] Who will directly and intentionally kill someone in their lifetime??

Manifold Markets prices Darwin (FPV drone operator with 92nd Brigade of AFU) at 100% as of October 26, 2026.

When does [Mega-market - add options] Who will directly and intentionally kill someone in their lifetime? resolve?

[Mega-market - add options] Who will directly and intentionally kill someone in their lifetime? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.

How is [Mega-market - add options] Who will directly and intentionally kill someone in their lifetime? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Ordering someone or an AI to do it doesn't count, using more direct tools and weapons does count.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-1.1pt93%
• 25 bps increase+1.0pt7%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$73.7M

24h Vol

$7.5M

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+4.8pt56.7%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+3.0pt28.9%
• Naftali Bennett-1.0pt12.4%

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-2.0pt63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt28.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.4pt90.5%
• Republican Party-0.5pt9.4%

Total Vol

$72.8M

24h Vol

$1.8M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+3.0pt65.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt34.5%

Total Vol

$43.5M

24h Vol

$1.3M

KALSHI

Texas Governor winner?

• Greg Abbott+1.0pt68.5%
• Gina Hinojosa-3.0pt30.5%

Total Vol

$6.4M

24h Vol

$1.1M

• Which party will win the House in 2026?
• 2028 Republican presidential nominee
• Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
• Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
• South Carolina Senate winner?
• What will Trump say during his rally in Corinth, Mississippi?
• Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
• US House Control After the 2026 Midterms
• Presidential Election Winner 2028
• 2026 Texas Senate Race