If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 96.3% as of October 23, 2026.

When does If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026? resolve?

If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before April 1, 2026.

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POLYMARKET

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

• December 31-16.0pt19%
• November 30-11.0pt11%
• November 15-13.5pt7%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$12.4M

24h Vol

$2M

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 22+0.9pt99%
• October 24+4.1pt98%
• October 28+4.0pt88%

+17 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24+4.2pt98%
• October 27-0.5pt90%
• October 3186%

+28 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?

• December 31,72%
• November 30,+0.5pt69%
• October 31,+0.5pt66%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?

• December 319%
• October 31-0.5pt1%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$76.6M

24h Vol

$105.4K

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

• No94.1%
• Yes5.9%

Total Vol

$27.9M

24h Vol

$95.2K

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