If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopoliticsUS Politics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.5%
Forecasters
33
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 17, 26, 10:57 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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LimitlessRules
Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before July 1, 2026.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026? resolve?
- If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before July 1, 2026.