How many Yea votes will Todd Blanche receive in a confirmation vote by year-end?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsElectionCrime & Justice
PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Unverified resolution data: 50 (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 8, 2026, 12:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
5099%
49 or fewer1%
511%
528%
533%
542%
55 or more1%
50Awaiting result
49 or fewerAwaiting result
51Awaiting result
52Awaiting result
53Awaiting result
54Awaiting result
55 or moreAwaiting result
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Manifold MarketsRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number of Yea votes cast in the U.S.
- The vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote.
- So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date.
- The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.
Should no confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche as Attorney General commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee, whether by roll call, voice vote, or division vote; or should Todd Blanche be confirmed as Attorney General in a vote that commences after the End Date; the contract identifying the range "the named outcome" shall resolve as Yes. - Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via voice vote or other procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "the named outcome" shall resolve as Yes.
