PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 95%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$33.4K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 9:06 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Mark Warner 96% · 2 venues · 1 pt band
- Also available on Smarkets — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Democrat 95%
- Also available on Kalshi — Virginia Senate winner? · Mark Warner 95%
- Also available on Gemini — Virginia US Senate Winner · Mark Warner 96%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $187.5M
- 24h Vol
- $987.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt4.9%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.5M
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.7M
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $58.7M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Virginia Senate Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Democrat at 95% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Virginia Senate Election Winner resolve?
- Virginia Senate Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Virginia Senate Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Where else is Virginia Senate Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Smarkets, Kalshi, Gemini.