PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Mark Warner (D) · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
Mark Warner (D) 98%
Mark Warner (D) 98%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$75K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
Mark Warner (D)Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 9:06 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Mark Warner (D)
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Mark Warner (D) is 98%. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Mark Warner (D) 98% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Virginia? · Democrats 99%
- Also available on Kalshi — Virginia Senate winner? · Mark Warner 97%
- Also available on Gemini — Virginia US Senate Winner · Mark Warner 99%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Virginia Senate Race · Democrat 99%
- Also available on Smarkets — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Democrat 96%