GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Mark Warner 98.5%
Mark Warner 98.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 10:55 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
West Virginia US Senate Winner
GeminiFall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
PolymarketTexas US Senate Winner
GeminiWill the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 2% or more of the vote?
Manifold MarketsMichigan US Senate Winner
GeminiWho will win Maine’s US Senate election in 2026?(n/a if not platner, mills or Collins)
Manifold MarketsRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Virginia Senate election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Virginia? · Democrats 99%
- Also available on Polymarket — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Mark Warner (D) 98%
- Also available on Kalshi — Virginia Senate winner? · Mark Warner 97%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Virginia Senate Race · Democrat 99%
- Also available on Smarkets — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Democrat 96%
