KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Mark Warner 95%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.5% / 4.8%
Spread
3.3 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Mark Warner 96% · 2 venues · 1 pt band
- Also available on Polymarket — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Democrat 95%
- Also available on Smarkets — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Democrat 95%
- Also available on Gemini — Virginia US Senate Winner · Mark Warner 96%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Virginia Senate winner??
- Kalshi prices Mark Warner at 95% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Virginia Senate winner? resolve?
- Virginia Senate winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Virginia Senate winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Virginia Senate winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Smarkets, Gemini.