KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Shelley Moore Capito 97%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$14.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
95.1% / 99.0%
Spread
3.9 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Shelley Moore Capito 98% · 2 venues · 2 pt band
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 West Virginia Senate Race · Republican 96%
- Also available on Polymarket — West Virginia Senate Election Winner · Republican 98%
- Also available on Smarkets — West Virginia Senate Election Winner · Republican 98%
- Also available on Gemini — West Virginia US Senate Winner · Shelley Moore Capito 100%
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-8.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.5%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $187.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
- Total Vol
- $23.7M
- 24h Vol
- $585.9K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for West Virginia Senate winner??
- Kalshi prices Shelley Moore Capito at 97% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does West Virginia Senate winner? resolve?
- West Virginia Senate winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is West Virginia Senate winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is West Virginia Senate winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Smarkets, Gemini.