KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Shelley Moore Capito · —
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Stored price
Shelley Moore Capito Stored bid–ask97.4%–98.3%Collected: Last trade: 97.6% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 98%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.
Shelley Moore Capito Stored bid–ask97.4%–98.3%Collected: Last trade: 97.6% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 98%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$122
Open interest
$20.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Shelley Moore CapitoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Shelley Moore Capito
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
West Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout
KalshiWest Virginia Senate margin of victory
KalshiWest Virginia Senate election: Rachel Anderson vote percent
KalshiWest Virginia Senate election: Shelley Moore Capito vote percent
Kalshi2026 Virginia Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketRules
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Shelley Moore Capito
- If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rachel Fetty Anderson
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Shelley Moore Capito (R) is 99%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Shelley Moore Capito (R) 99% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — West Virginia Senate Election Winner · Shelley Moore Capito (R) 99%
- Also available on Smarkets — West Virginia Senate Election Winner · Republican 97%
- Also available on Gemini — West Virginia US Senate Winner · Shelley Moore Capito 97%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 West Virginia Senate Race · Republican 99%