PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 3:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
500K-550K · —
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Stored reference
500K-550K 33.6%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
500K-550K 33.6%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$676.5
Liquidity
$73.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$3.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
500K-550KSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+6.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 18, 26, 2:27 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 500K-550K
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.