PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
3.75M-4M 40%-3.5ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$423.5
Low liquiditySpread
35.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:27 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Total Vol
- $16.3M
- 24h Vol
- $960.3K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $217M
- 24h Vol
- $572.4K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $998.7K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 more outcomes
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Virginia Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket prices 3.75M-4M at 40% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Virginia Senate Election: Turnout resolve?
- Virginia Senate Election: Turnout is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Virginia Senate Election: Turnout settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.