PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
2027 · —
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Stored reference
2027 19%
2027 19%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$75.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$28.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2027Spread
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Comments
7
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 8:15 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
China coup attempt by which date?
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Manifold MarketsIran coup attempt by which date?
PolymarketWill there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
Manifold MarketsMilitary coup or self-coup attempt occurs in the USA before March 24, 2030
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership.
- Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
- Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
- Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.