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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

0.7% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 2%+0.0%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$300.8

Liquidity

$7.7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.8% / 2.6%

Spread

225.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.7%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Dec 29, 25, 9:55 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes2%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.