Selected book midpoint
December 31, 2028 · —
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Stored reference
December 31, 2028 34%Leader of 4 outcomes
December 31, 2028 34%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$3.7K
Bid / Ask
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December 31, 2028Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 41 minutes ago
Nov 10, 26, 4:34 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31, 2028
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On January 20, 2026, the European Commission proposed a revised Cybersecurity Act ("CSA2", Commission proposal COM(2026) 11) that would require EU mobile network operators to phase out equipment from designated high-risk suppliers, a measure widely reported to target Huawei and ZTE.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union formally adopts legislation that requires EU mobile network operators to phase out equipment from Chinese suppliers, as defined below, by the specified date, 11:59 PM Central European Time (CET/CEST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation may include the revised Cybersecurity Act, any successor proposal, or any other legislative act, provided it is a regulation or directive adopted under the ordinary or a special legislative procedure, binding in all EU Member States, and meets all of the following requirements: - apply to providers of public mobile electronic communications networks generally or to a defined class of them (e.g., providers of 5G networks or operators above a size threshold), and may also apply to other networks; - require the removal, replacement, or phase-out of already-deployed core network and/or radio access network equipment, rather than only banning new purchases, installation, or certification; - apply to suppliers established in, or controlled from, the People's Republic of China (e.g., Huawei and ZTE), either by name or through a designation mechanism capable of covering them (e.g., "high-risk suppliers", or a designation of China as a high-risk third country), whether or not China or any Chinese supplier has been designated by the specified date; and - set a phase-out deadline of no more than 36 months, as a fixed date or a period (e.g., “within 36 months after entry into force”), counted from the entry into force of the act setting it, the relevant provision’s date of application, or a later designation of suppliers under that act (e.g., publication of a list of high-risk suppliers); where these dates are not yet known, the adoption date will be used.
- This limit must be fixed in the act itself: case-by-case or risk-based timelines without it, and deadlines whose length is left to later implementing or delegated acts, will not qualify, but an implementing or delegated act that only designates suppliers, and so starts the clock, will not disqualify an act, nor will extensions for individual operators in exceptional cases if the general deadline is met; however, an act will not qualify if it allows the deadline to be extended beyond 36 months generally, for a whole Member State, or for a whole class of operators.
- These requirements may be met by provisions of more than one such act, provided the provisions together impose a single removal obligation meeting all requirements, and each act is formally adopted by the specified date, 11:59 PM CET/CEST.
