US adopts pharmaceutical reciprocity with the UK, some/all of the EU, Japan, or Australia before 2035
EuropeOne-Off8yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.4%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 16, 23, 4:22 PM UTCApr 2, 35, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
A drug approved in one of those countries has a significantly accellerated path to approval in the US.
- It doesn't have to be immediate.
- In addition to the legal changes, this also requires at least 2 drugs to have gone through this accellerated approval process to become available in the US.
- I realize this may be hard to judge.
- I will be relatively strict
- If no legal changes from today, resolves NO
