PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
30M+ 85%Leader of 8 outcomes
30M+ 85%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.2K
Liquidity
$17.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.6 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 2:05 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Average DIESEL Price Is $6.3000 or more on October 5 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average DIESEL Price Is $6.000 or more on Election Day 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average DIESEL Price Is $8 or more on any day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average DIESEL Price Is $7 or more on any day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketRules
On October 1, 2026, Reuters reported that the United States had told France and Germany to release emergency diesel stocks or face a potential US diesel export ban, as Washington presses European countries to draw down their reserves to ease surging diesel prices.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-tells-france-germany-release-diesel-stocks-or-face-us-export-ban-sources-say-2026-10-01/
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eurostat publishes a figure for the European Union’s closing stock of EU emergency stocks of gas oil and diesel oil for the month of December 2026 that is greater than or equal to the specified value.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The relevant figure is the value in Eurostat’s “Oil products stock levels - monthly data” dataset (nrg_stk_oilm) for: Geopolitical entity “European Union - 27 countries (from 2020)”; Standard international energy product classification “Gas oil and diesel oil”; Stock or flow “Closing stock - EU emergency”; Unit “Thousand tonnes”; Time “2026-12”.
- This market will resolve as soon as Eurostat first publishes a figure for December 2026.