Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 17, 26, 1:14 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Average DIESEL Price Is $8 or more on any day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average DIESEL Price Is $6.000 or more on Election Day 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AAA national average diesel price reach $6.500 or more on any day before November 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsDiesel price on Election Day
KalshiDiesel price at year-end 2026
KalshiUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRules
https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- [link preview]Resolves yes if the regular, current DIESEL avg on any day is $7.000 or more
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Total Vol
- $67M
- 24h Vol
- $320.7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt56.6%
- October 3132.1%
- September 30-2.0pt10.4%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-1.0pt10%
- September 30-1.5pt2%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.5pt95%
- September 25+16.5pt86%
- September 30-3.5pt67%
+1 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+1.3pt53.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-2.0pt28.9%
- Naftali Bennett9.3%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+2.0pt63%
- December-4.5pt41%
- October+5.5pt27%
+9 more outcomes
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Average DIESEL Price Is $7 or more on any day in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 69% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does US Average DIESEL Price Is $7 or more on any day in 2026? resolve?
- US Average DIESEL Price Is $7 or more on any day in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is US Average DIESEL Price Is $7 or more on any day in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://gasprices.aaa.com/